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The Market Was Screaming. I Wasn't Listening. (mistakes 2024-2025)

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  The Market Was Screaming. I Wasn't Listening. A brutally honest account of my biggest trading mistakes 2024-2025 — and what I'm taking away from the ruins. There's a version of this post where I make excuses. Where I blame Jane Street for manipulating crypto ETFs, blame overenthusiastic analysts on Substack, blame management commentary that turned out to be misleading. All of those things happened. All of them are real. But the market doesn't care about excuses. And neither should I. This is the full post-mortem — three painful trades, bad drawdown, and the rules I should have been following all along. I used Claude AI to rewrite my thoughts in presentable English without grammatical mistakes PART 1 — CRYPTO: ETH, BMNR & BTC The Setup I entered Ethereum with conviction. The thesis was solid on paper: decentralised finance, US government turning pro-crypto, ETF approvals, institutional inflows. I was also following Tom Lee (CEO of BMNR ETH holding company)...
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Africa play it's VBL

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The Whispering Exit: Smart Money exit BLS

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The Setback: Did Smart Money See the BLS International Problem Coming? BY--  Dr Tushar M The Background: Good Stock, Bad News The Fundamentals: An Amazing Picture The date was October 11, 2025 , when the market was hit with huge news: the Ministry of External Affairs (MEA) , a key government client, had barred BLS International Services from bidding on future contracts. This is a classic example of the risk in companies whose business relies, directly or indirectly, on the government.This stock was a huge favorite among small investors, with countless articles praising its "non-stop" growth and "amazing fundamentals." After the news broke, I immediately dove into the chart. My central question was clear: Can we predict a crisis by tracing the flow of "smart money" (big, informed investors)? I wanted to find out if the technical signs of an exit appeared before the public announcement. Let's start with the basics. The company's financial documents...
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RBL Bank

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  Monthly chart RBL Bank from its peak of June 2019 price 689 a fall 83% to April low of 120 rupees 2020 (1st leg fall). Second leg fall from  Feb 2021-- 267 to June 2022 --82 (fall of 70%). From this low it started recovering with a higher high (HH) to a higher Low (HL). from last recent Pivot 1st FEB 2025 -- 147 to high of 275 (my buy price zone) it was up roughly  89-90%.  so the monthly chart suggests that RBL is ready to come out of his Stage 1 (stan Weinsteins stage analysis). I like to see long-term charts to decide to enter during Stage 2 only. Weekly Chart. While reading, kindly see the chart and numbers mentioned in the annotated charts below. This is the (Zoom) weekly time frame chart from Dec.2023 till Oct 2025 1) number 1 on the chart with a yellow arrow, this is a weekly candle, which i call it a Gapdown reversal bar (where open is low of the week, it represents reversal or strong demand in stock). for this candle, you can see increasing volume. 2) ...
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